Spakenburg vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
SPA
23%
22%
54%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 4
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARC
0 - 1
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
GVV
64%
18%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GVV
1 - 1
LIS
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
KAT
46%
23%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
1 - 1
LIS
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 3
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |