Spakenburg vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
SPA
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
4 - 1
WIT
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALM
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ONS
0 - 4
SPA
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KAT
1 - 1
KOZ
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DET
1 - 4
KAT
25%
23%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
KAT
1 - 0
FCD
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
KOZ
0 - 0
KAT
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KAT
1 - 2
KON
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |