Spakenburg vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 5
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 1
TER
75%
14%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HHC
4 - 2
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
KAT
1 - 5
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KAT
2 - 0
TER
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KAT
0 - 1
HHC
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NOO
2 - 1
KAT
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |