Spakenburg vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 1
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 3
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 1
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GVV
1 - 3
KAT
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 6
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
3 - 1
HHC
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |