Spakenburg vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
SPA
27%
23%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
6 - 2
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GVV
5 - 2
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UNA
2 - 0
SPA
15%
18%
67%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GVV
4 - 2
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 3
HAR
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |