Spakenburg vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ASW
3 - 1
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RIJ
3 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
5 - 2
UNA
43%
23%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 0
GVV
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KOZ
3 - 3
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 2
DET
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 3
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
OOS
0 - 2
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
QUI
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TIE
1 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |