Spakenburg vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 3
SPA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 2
ONS
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
SCH
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
WIL
24%
23%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
EXC
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
TER
65%
19%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HHC
4 - 1
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |