Spakenburg vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
17%
21%
63%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 3
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
80%
12%
7%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 1
AJA
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
GVV
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAP
39%
23%
38%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
ONS
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
CAP
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
RIJ
1 - 1
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |