Spakenburg vs ASWH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 0
TIE
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
IJS
2 - 2
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOO
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VOL
1 - 1
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 0
SDO
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 0
ASW
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 0
ASW
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ASW
5 - 2
VOL
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
KON
4 - 1
ASW
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
ASW
5 - 1
TIE
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |