Spakenburg vs Amsterdamsche FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
8º
1º
10
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
43% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
KAT
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ACV
1 - 2
SPA
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HHC
3 - 1
SPA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
VOL
60%
21%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KON
1 - 0
AFC
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DET
3 - 5
AFC
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
0 - 1
AFC
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
ACV
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |