Derde Divisie Playoffs Final
Global 6-4
Spakenburg vs Amsterdamsche FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
GVV
48%
22%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TER
1 - 3
SPA
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
HHC
51%
22%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NOO
0 - 2
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
BAR
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 2
JVC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VVS
2 - 1
AFC
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 4
HBS
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EVV
1 - 1
AFC
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
WKE
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |