Spakenburg vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
KAT
0 - 3
SPA
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 6
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
6 - 3
HHC
76%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
VVS
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 3
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HAA
1 - 2
ACH
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
6 - 2
ARG
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 2
JVC
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |