Spaeri vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
5º
26
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADU
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 0
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |