Spaeri vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
9º
4º
45
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIT
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 0
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |