Spaeri vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
5 - 2
WIT
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
5 - 0
SPA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
SIO
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
NOR
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |