Spaeri vs Merani Martvili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
26
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 3
SPA
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 2
FTK
29%
24%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
MER
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
4 - 2
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SIO
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 4
KOL
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |