Spaeri vs Kolkheti Khobi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
5º
17
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LTB
0 - 1
SPA
11%
15%
75%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SPA
17%
20%
63%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 2
SPA
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
SIO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kolkheti Khobi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
GAR
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SPA
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 3
KOL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
ADU
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
MET
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |