Spaeri vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
9º
4º
67
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SPA
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
MET
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
5 - 1
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 5
GAR
32%
25%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 4
SIO
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |