Play-Offs Erovnuli Liga Final
Global 3-3
Spaeri vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 3
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
SHU
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 1
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GAG
1 - 4
DBA
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
FTK
0 - 1
GAG
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 1
SIO
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |