Spaeri vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
48
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 2
SPA
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
LOK
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 0
KOL
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
17%
21%
61%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 1
DIN
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 1
WIT
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 2
SIO
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 3
WIT
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 3
KOL
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |