Spaeri vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
9º
4º
61
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
DIN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 2
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
GAR
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 4
SIO
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
KOL
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 0
ADU
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |