Spaeri vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 5
SPA
11%
18%
70%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 5
GAR
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
9 - 1
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
SIO
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 1
KOL
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
8 - 4
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
SIO
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |