Spaeri vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
9º
3º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
KOL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 2
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 3
GAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
SPA
17%
21%
61%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
DIN
4 - 2
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SIO
4 - 1
KOL
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 0
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
SIO
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |