Sp. Villanueva Promesas vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAD
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 1
SPO
81%
14%
6%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDB
20%
25%
56%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
COR
4 - 4
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
POL
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |