Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Sporting Mahonés vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
FLN
0 - 0
MHN
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MHN
1 - 1
MLL
28%
27%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 1
MHN
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
CFP
0 - 1
MHN
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
MHN
1 - 1
ADC
64%
22%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ALA
0 - 1
MUR
30%
28%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
0 - 0
PXD
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 1
MHN
62%
20%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
IBI
3 - 0
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 1
MNU
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |