SP Herrera vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+178%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDT
5 - 1
SPH
55%
22%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPH
1 - 3
OLY
10%
18%
72%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ADL
4 - 0
SPH
83%
13%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SPH
0 - 1
SPR
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
5 - 0
SPH
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
UCL
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 0
CDT
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
2 - 0
ADL
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SPR
4 - 1
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |