SP Herrera vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
14%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 2
SPH
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPH
1 - 1
SBA
70%
17%
14%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
SPH
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPH
4 - 0
ZUR
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SPH
1 - 0
OLY
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 4
VAL
63%
19%
19%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
SMA
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
OCD
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
SMA
72%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
ZUR
78%
13%
10%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |