SP Guardes vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 3
GUA
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LTA
1 - 1
GUA
7%
16%
77%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 4
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
ERI
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
CHO
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 2
PRO
29%
21%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LTA
0 - 3
PRO
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |