SP Falcons vs Ulaanbaatar City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
26
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 0
SPF
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 3
DER
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
TBF
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHC
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
SPF
7%
12%
81%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KHO
5 - 0
ULC
23%
19%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ULC
0 - 1
KHC
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 6
ULC
9%
13%
78%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ULC
0 - 0
ERC
41%
21%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KHA
0 - 0
ULC
10%
14%
76%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |