SP Falcons vs Khovd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
48
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
SPF
7%
12%
81%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 0
ERC
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 7
SPF
10%
14%
77%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
4 - 1
KHO
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 6
SPF
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Khovd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KHC
6 - 1
BCH
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
0 - 1
KHC
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KHC
3 - 1
KHA
71%
15%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KHO
1 - 2
KHC
56%
18%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KHC
1 - 2
ULC
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |