SP Falcons vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 0
SPF
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SPF
5 - 1
KHC
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ULA
1 - 3
SPF
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPF
6 - 1
BSI
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPF
7 - 0
BFC
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
KHA
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ERC
1 - 6
DER
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 4
DER
28%
21%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
TBF
50%
20%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DER
3 - 2
KHC
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |