SP Falcons vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SPF
4 - 1
KHO
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SPF
0 - 2
ERC
42%
20%
38%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KHA
3 - 6
SPF
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SPF
1 - 0
ULA
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ATF
0 - 1
SPF
50%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ERC
1 - 2
DER
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
KHA
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ULA
1 - 0
DER
58%
20%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 4
ATF
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BCH
0 - 2
DER
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |