SP Falcons vs Khaan Khuns - Erchim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
26
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KHA
0 - 3
SPF
22%
20%
59%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KHO
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ULC
1 - 0
SPF
40%
21%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 1
ULA
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SPF
44%
21%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ERC
1 - 4
KHC
31%
20%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 11
ERC
8%
12%
81%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ERC
2 - 4
TBF
43%
21%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 2
KHA
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KHO
2 - 3
ERC
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |