SP Falcons vs BCH Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
SPF
4 - 1
KHA
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
ULC
2 - 3
SPF
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
0 - 2
ERC
39%
21%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ULA
3 - 0
SPF
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
TBF
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BCH Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
DER
5 - 0
BCH
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
ATF
15%
18%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KHC
2 - 4
BCH
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 1
BCH
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BCH
1 - 1
KHA
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |