SP Falcons vs Bavarians FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
KHO
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
KHA
3 - 1
SPF
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 1
ERC
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
SPF
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
TBF
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bavarians FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
KHA
8%
12%
81%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ERC
7 - 1
BFC
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 6
DER
10%
16%
74%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 1
BFC
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 4
KHC
10%
14%
76%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |