Sozopol vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
4 - 3
SOZ
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOZ
0 - 1
BVR
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 0
SOZ
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SOZ
1 - 0
VER
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
DIM
0 - 3
SOZ
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
5 - 0
SVA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 3
DOB
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 0
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
FKV
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
SVA
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |