Sozopol vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 0
SOZ
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SOZ
3 - 0
FKV
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
CSK
0 - 1
SOZ
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
BGA
1 - 0
SOZ
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SOZ
1 - 0
BVR
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
NES
1 - 0
FKV
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
NES
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NES
1 - 1
BGA
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BVR
2 - 2
NES
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ETA
6 - 0
NES
64%
20%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |