Southport vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
SOU
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
DAR
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 1
SOU
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
YOR
3 - 0
STI
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NUN
2 - 2
YOR
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
YOR
4 - 2
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
YOR
5 - 0
ASH
70%
16%
13%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
YOR
0 - 3
KID
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |