Southport vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WOK
2 - 3
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 2
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 1
NUN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUT
3 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
ALF
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
STO
2 - 3
WRE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 0
WRE
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |