Southport vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 3
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 2
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 2
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
0 - 3
YOR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
WRE
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 0
KID
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 0
FLE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 4
WRE
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |