Southport vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 3
LIN
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 5
WOK
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
GRI
0 - 1
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRO
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WEL
4 - 1
NUN
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
WEL
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 4
WEL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |