Southport vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
CUR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
SOU
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GAI
0 - 3
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
KID
3 - 0
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
TAM
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 2
AFC
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 3
BLY
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
TAM
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
YOR
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |