Southport vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 4
BRA
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KID
1 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 0
TAM
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
5 - 0
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 0
LIN
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
TAM
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
TAM
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |