Southport vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
0 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 3
EBB
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
STO
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 3
TAM
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
CRE
14%
19%
66%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 2
BRO
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |