FA Trophy 1/32
Global 5-3
Southport vs South Shields analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
GLO
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KID
0 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COL
2 - 3
SOU
37%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 2
KIN
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Shields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAR
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 0
STO
62%
20%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
STO
1 - 1
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 2
SOU
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |