Southport vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GRI
0 - 0
SOU
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 2
WRE
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
HER
4 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
HYD
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
WOK
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALF
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
HAL
5 - 1
SAL
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
NUN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
SAL
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |