Southport vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALF
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHE
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 2
SOU
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
TRA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NUN
1 - 2
AFC
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 1
NUN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 1
NUN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
NUN
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |