Southport vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
YOR
3 - 2
SOU
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
AFC
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
TAM
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
CUR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
NUN
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 0
NUN
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NUN
2 - 2
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 2
NUN
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 1
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |