Southport vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
HAL
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 3
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 2
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
EAS
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NUN
1 - 0
WEL
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NUN
0 - 0
KID
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 2
NUN
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
NUN
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
NUN
0 - 2
GRI
20%
25%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |