Southport vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
GRI
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GRI
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 0
MAC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAC
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WOK
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |