Southport vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
LUT
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 2
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
SOU
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
ALF
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 0
ASV
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
LUT
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 0
EBB
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 2
NEW
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LUT
1 - 1
GRI
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |